....."Kevin Lewis did some experiments on this and found the bell shape was not so visible in pellets in flight."
https://photos.app.goo.gl/zvz5gW6sVvQyGapw8
Looks bell like to me.
As the original statements were not qualified i.e. the pellets bell from a low power pcp, then this picture surely proves that deformation of the skirt can occur in the barrel, wether it does for us low power pcp shooters is another matter.
Springer, PCP, low power, high power, breech shape, regulator/hammer balance, rifling or lack of, choke or lack of, pellet hardness, pellets sized.....lots of varibles that should all be included in any experiments if you want a definative answer.
From what I have READ I think belling can occur, as you have observed though not in every scenario.
The Cardews did a shed load of work on this (chapter 18 of Trigger to Target) as have several other American chaps I am yet to see one come to the conclusion that skirt deformation/expansion/belling of some kind does not occur, that aside from rifling marks.
I dont know how Hector caught his pellets but the Cardews used jelly - Lemon flavour I believe